TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,633
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,452

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,633 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ba2…d212backed Under7c7,344$497 inLost-$496.5913633.8%46 W · 90 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under8c5,469$439 inLost-$439.066,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under7c3,895$286 inLost-$286.191827.8%5 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under7c3,570$250 inLost-$249.996443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under8c3,491$279 inLost-$279.359247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under7c3,458$259 inLost-$258.81,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under8c3,412$273 inLost-$272.991,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under7c3,347$250 inLost-$249.911,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under9c2,222$200 inLost-$2002817.9%5 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under5c2,000$100 inLost-$10022644.2%100 W · 126 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under5c1,350$68 inLost-$67.514144%62 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under7c1,200$84 inLost-$8446651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed Under7c1,094$77 inLost-$76.581353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under8c1,020$82 inLost-$81.597436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under5c624.99$31 inLost-$31.2510850%54 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under8c512$41 inLost-$40.965750.9%29 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Under4c450$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under8c390$31 inLost-$31.29735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Under6c355$21 inLost-$21.330%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under9c200$18 inLost-$183450%17 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under6c193.56$12 inLost-$12.1457833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under8c125.55$10 inLost-$10.0417339.9%69 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.