Premier League · resolved market
Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20a9ba7c707c6ec238537e20eaccbd7bfe6dee83c3b28af699d89714b7c8bd50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 5,022$3,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.94 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 59c | 2,149$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.2 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Under | 75c | 1,994$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.22 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 28c | 1,776$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.19 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 8c | 1,689$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 25c | 1,686$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.49 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 8c | 1,466$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.56 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 18c | 1,429$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.48 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Under | 74c | 920.94$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.44 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 24c | 614.14$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.04 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…8284backed Under | 77c | 471.43$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 76c | 458.1$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.94 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 25c | 450$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbe…ccebbacked Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 407.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 20c | 227.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 75c | 223$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 173.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 56c | 158$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 23c | 148.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 26c | 137.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 112 | 17.9%20 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Under | 77c | 118$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 76c | 113.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 11c | 109.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Over | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 16c | 92.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 407 | 21.9%89 W · 318 L | -53.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Under | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 25c | 84.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 75c | 78.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Under | 58c | 78.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 79c | 78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 72c | 59.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d8…7122backed Under | 74c | 56.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…6de9backed Over | 21c | 55.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 59c | 48.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 73c | 44.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 42.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 27c | 40.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42cf…e697backed Over | 27c | 37.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -62%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 60c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 74c | 36.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 58c | 30.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf657…dad7backed Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…358bbacked Over | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 79c | 24.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 76c | 18.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 76c | 16.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 218 | 57.3%125 W · 93 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Ipswich Town FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Ipswich Town FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Sunderland AFC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)Ipswich Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.