Premier League · resolved market
Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58e7bb00dd622636b0ee9f91d762a31350eb545c01b79815ebaf8dec95495350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x361b…74febacked Under | 30c | 4,958$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 2,812$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.89 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…ced8backed Over | 71c | 2,254$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdce…b9dfbacked Under | 29c | 1,400$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 71c | 1,065$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.98 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 30c | 887.33$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.31 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 775.97$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.01 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 29c | 525.24$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.32 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 70c | 517.86$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Over | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 70c | 385.71$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 72c | 314.53$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 30c | 248$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 68c | 201.41$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 29c | 191.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…adadbacked Over | 71c | 177.46$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 26c | 137.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 112 | 17.9%20 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 71c | 136.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 29c | 134.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 87.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 71c | 67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 56.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 72c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a8…5aedbacked Under | 30c | 53.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 71c | 46.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4f…ab40backed Over | 71c | 46.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 29c | 39.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 74c | 36.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…b695backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Over | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Over | 71c | 17.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…4a14backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Ipswich Town FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Ipswich Town FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Sunderland AFC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)Ipswich Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.