Mls · resolved market

Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9362d21457060b9d717fbcf5dd1098e17363ce50ab8f92de3e6bbe77440dd7e2

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $12,912
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $12,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,912 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4488…e319backed Under	43c	4,011$1,709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,301.79	177	40.7%72 W · 105 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over	58c	3,000$1,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,740	109	45%49 W · 60 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	57c	1,485$846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846.45	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	28c	1,340$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.34	1,444	36.8%532 W · 912 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	52c	733.81$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.69	993	40.1%398 W · 595 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	61c	701.84$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.12	989	45.4%449 W · 540 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	42c	595$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.1	215	47.9%103 W · 112 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffd…38f6backed Over	46c	500$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under	39c	404$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.44	201	33.3%67 W · 134 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	43c	387.7$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.96	702	49.7%349 W · 353 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	57c	381.92$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.03	681	50.8%346 W · 335 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	43c	333.13$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.94	728	50.7%369 W · 359 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	42c	300$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174	264	50%132 W · 132 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	42c	272.72$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.18	971	46.1%448 W · 523 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	58c	270.91$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.13	394	35.8%141 W · 253 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	63c	266.17$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.59	1,262	45.2%571 W · 691 L	-28.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over	42c	238.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under	40c	235.27$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.89	74	60.8%45 W · 29 L	+12.8wins	+0.17per pick	44cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	40c	233.82$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.35	714	43.7%312 W · 402 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	58c	226.93$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.9	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under	62c	204.95$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.95	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over	44c	200$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc39…398abacked Over	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under	42c	175.07$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.54	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Over	53c	150$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.5	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Under	50c	150$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.05	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	55c	135.37$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	871	54.6%476 W · 395 L	+34.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	55c	127.8$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.78	1,880	36.6%688 W · 1,192 L	-7.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	30c	120.65$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.12	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under	56c	106.88$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.03	220	42.7%94 W · 126 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over	51c	102.02$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.47	196	41.3%81 W · 115 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	63c	101.6$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.81	205	54.6%112 W · 93 L	+17.1wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	42c	89.98$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.19	1,301	51.2%666 W · 635 L	-19.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Over	58c	87.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.49	27	70.4%19 W · 8 L	+5.9wins	+0.22per pick	48cpaid	+71.8%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over	61c	84.95$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.82	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over	15c	80.22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	86	24.4%21 W · 65 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	42c	79.41$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.06	351	49.6%174 W · 177 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	38c	76.23$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	287	21.6%62 W · 225 L	-29.9wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under	52c	66.86$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.09	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	42c	64$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.12	270	47%127 W · 143 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	56c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.25	314	46.5%146 W · 168 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	57c	49.89$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.52	967	56.8%549 W · 418 L	+73.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Over	66c	38.4$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.39	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under	42c	38$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.04	328	48.8%160 W · 168 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a3a…e85dbacked Under	39c	37.5$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.87	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	59c	37.15$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.92	526	39.5%208 W · 318 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06c…561dbacked Over	53c	32.08$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.39per pick	55cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Over	59c	29.95$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.67	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over	40c	29.57$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.94	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	52c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	167	44.3%74 W · 93 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7809…6600backed Over	45c	28$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.51	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	57c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	444	47.3%210 W · 234 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	52c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	352	47.7%168 W · 184 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	58c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	366	46.7%171 W · 195 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099c…e42cbacked Over	58c	24.14$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1573…a727backed Over	62c	24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44dc…802dbacked Over	59c	23.73$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74bf…f43dbacked Over	51c	23.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	45c	23$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.65	1,009	46.2%466 W · 543 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	48c	22.74$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.74	461	56.2%259 W · 202 L	+13.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over	52c	21.79$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	172	44.8%77 W · 95 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over	52c	20.12$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.46	233	50.6%118 W · 115 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	102	49%50 W · 52 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Houston Dynamo won
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Houston Dynamo won
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Houston Dynamo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Houston Dynamo O/U 1.5Under won
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 0.5Over won
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 1.5Under won
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5Under won
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5Under won
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 0.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event