Mls · resolved market
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38575bdf372687a0fcf5d0cdcb9ceb0aae824abfcbf8f177856269437f1f54c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 4c | 523.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 62c | 261$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 12c | 253.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 228.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 36c | 222.07$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 28c | 192.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 65c | 137.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 72c | 113.84$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 35c | 110.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 66c | 108.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 35c | 106.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 72c | 104.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 72c | 104.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 33c | 87.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Over | 24c | 74.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 36c | 68.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 79c | 66.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 74c | 66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…2b2fbacked Under | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 65c | 61.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 68c | 53.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 35c | 50.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 22c | 49.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 70c | 33.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Under | 66c | 30.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Under | 78c | 25.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Houston Dynamo won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Houston Dynamo won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Houston Dynamo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Houston Dynamo O/U 1.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 1.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 0.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.