Mls · resolved market
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20b0022a4b47a4ee4b4b79f9138eb04e82841f5f4743efbb580d3e65e7314a6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Dynamoof Vancouver Whitecaps FC, Houston Dynamo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Houston Dynamo | 64c | 13,306$8,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,846.62 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 36c | 5,917$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.95 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 37c | 3,898$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.28 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 36c | 2,063$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.42 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Houston Dynamo | 63c | 1,138$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.06 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 37c | 762.57$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.15 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 37c | 750.23$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.59 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Houston Dynamo | 63c | 631$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Houston Dynamo | 63c | 591$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 37c | 388.23$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.65 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Houston Dynamo | 62c | 386$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.68 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Houston Dynamo | 63c | 371$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 37c | 326.86$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.94 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 36c | 322$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 36c | 285.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 36c | 272.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 37c | 232.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…8927backed Houston Dynamo | 63c | 226.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Houston Dynamo | 57c | 184.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.48 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 37c | 172.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 35c | 164.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 37c | 160.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 38c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 38c | 135.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Houston Dynamo | 61c | 130$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 36c | 128$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 37c | 124.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 40c | 124.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 40c | 102.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…b046backed Houston Dynamo | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 36c | 90.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Houston Dynamo | 63c | 83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 38c | 79.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 38c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 37c | 73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 36c | 71.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Houston Dynamo | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Houston Dynamo | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Houston Dynamo | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 36c | 44.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…16f5backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 37c | 43.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Houston Dynamo | 79c | 41.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…3f80backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…99e9backed Houston Dynamo | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Houston Dynamo | 60c | 30.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 39c | 29.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Houston Dynamo | 64c | 20.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Houston Dynamo | 60c | 19.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Houston Dynamo won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Houston Dynamo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Houston Dynamo O/U 1.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 1.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 0.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.