Mls · resolved market
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9798994fd9a69f9bfc5af02da3aba9f076e9d1e5d20928d2dda4fad05c557537
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 32c | 1,518$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.6 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 28c | 1,273$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.59 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 21c | 1,124$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 70c | 1,071$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.22 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 57c | 1,054$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.56 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 19c | 831.65$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.64 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 78c | 741.37$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.78 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 31c | 737.44$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.29 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 20c | 704.95$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.65 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 18c | 632$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.24 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 21c | 556.23$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under | 52c | 387.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.19 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 44c | 339.26$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.91 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 56c | 286.16$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.31 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa891…a1c1backed Under | 74c | 255.19$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…ef38backed Over | 76c | 239.53$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 66c | 205.37$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.43 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 30c | 187.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 173.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.62 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Under | 66c | 158.2$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 65c | 149.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 31c | 145$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…46fcbacked Over | 54c | 144.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 20c | 144.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 16c | 138.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +13.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 80c | 138$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 31c | 132$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 79c | 120$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 43c | 113.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…3d25backed Over | 76c | 91.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 59c | 68.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Over | 18c | 64.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 49c | 57.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…e3fcbacked Over | 19c | 55.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 35c | 45.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 29c | 41.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 78c | 40.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa58…140dbacked Over | 48c | 40.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 31c | 40.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…2f67backed Over | 70c | 35.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 47c | 23.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 71c | 14.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Houston Dynamo won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Houston Dynamo won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Houston Dynamo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Houston Dynamo O/U 1.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 0.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.