Mls · resolved market
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc27e99522e098efd85b90184a7d4f2637ae7c8f646fe408b18dda60a03a62205
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 56c | 868.5$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.36 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 669.05$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.2 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 39c | 398.58$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.65 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 55c | 301$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 57c | 289.89$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.36 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 54c | 275.03$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.52 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 66c | 250$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 46c | 233$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 44c | 199.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 35c | 185.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 56c | 170.05$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 167.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 63c | 151$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 10c | 146.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 63c | 125$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Yes | 38c | 113.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 63c | 102.24$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 66c | 98.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 53c | 94.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 44c | 85.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 26c | 83.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 55c | 71.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed No | 74c | 66.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 64c | 57.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 63c | 49.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 53c | 47.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 61c | 47.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 57c | 43.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 40c | 34.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 59c | 28.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 72c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 54c | 23.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Houston Dynamo won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Houston Dynamo won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Houston Dynamo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Houston Dynamo O/U 1.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 1.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 0.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.