Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x272ef5328b2a4ca5e2b8f140219edb0f2ac5038eb6f7238a82dd95a01ff95165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof ThunderTalk Gaming, EDward Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed EDward Gaming | 71c | 4,238$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.51 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 2,850$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.05 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 2,161$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.03 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…3989backed EDward Gaming | 69c | 1,900$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 1,358$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.86 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed EDward Gaming | 67c | 1,342$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.59 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked EDward Gaming | 68c | 1,120$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.42 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…38f6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…79bbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 501.1$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.6 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 337.74$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 333.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.67 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…c6d9backed EDward Gaming | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 240.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed EDward Gaming | 68c | 202.11$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 191.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 154.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 148.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed EDward Gaming | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1f…c18fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed EDward Gaming | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 36c | 108.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked EDward Gaming | 71c | 104.89$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 102.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0f…3656backed EDward Gaming | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked EDward Gaming | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 148 | 31.1%46 W · 102 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…1c86backed EDward Gaming | 67c | 98.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed EDward Gaming | 70c | 91.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed EDward Gaming | 68c | 91.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…9ff4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked EDward Gaming | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked EDward Gaming | 75c | 39.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 209 | 67%140 W · 69 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 37.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed EDward Gaming | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed EDward Gaming | 68c | 20.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…a74cbacked EDward Gaming | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed EDward Gaming | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked EDward Gaming | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 234 | 58.5%137 W · 97 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendEDward Gaming won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.