Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5d4c0ed082e72818429a0becb9d43cfd932013915e08a17068e0dec093ee03d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 47c | 2,065$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.35 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 53c | 1,126$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.23 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 52c | 897.62$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.86 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 47c | 653$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.91 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 52c | 319.34$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.28 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5f…555ebacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 52c | 171.93$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Under | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Under | 52c | 95.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 634 | 48.1%305 W · 329 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 48c | 93.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 48c | 74.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 48c | 57.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 46.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 48c | 29.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Over | 48c | 29.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)EDward Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendEDward Gaming won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.