Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x043365a842c3b7b96ce2a8991d940ea7b43a4bfac02659b00d168feb3d53630f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 1,788$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.36 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 858.6$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.3 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 12c | 699.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 582$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.3 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 379.79$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.74 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 61c | 361.27$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.96 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Over | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1322…aa4ebacked Over | 49c | 299.39$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 51c | 267.69$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.17 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 50c | 185.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 18c | 127.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 74c | 107.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 49c | 102.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb371…472abacked Over | 49c | 102.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Over | 51c | 90.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 85.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 54c | 82.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 51c | 65.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Over | 19c | 53.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Over | 30c | 47.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…0944backed Over | 32c | 43.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 45.2%99 W · 120 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1483…48fabacked Under | 53c | 37.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -8.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 48c | 30.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d68…580abacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Under | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 52c | 24.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed Under | 53c | 19.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)EDward Gaming won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendEDward Gaming won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.