Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-07-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf74829f0e6da82275dee17821f6a73805eeaa01e99c268c8ee086fc92c3708f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 4,605$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 26c | 3,717$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.34 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Yes | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.04 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Yes | 22c | 2,327$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.58 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 2,044$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.29 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 1,027$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.83 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 6c | 898.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 23c | 522.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 23c | 417.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 337$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 337$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 337$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Yes | 20c | 89.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 76.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 24c | 66.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…aa3fbacked Yes | 24c | 66.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +102%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 74c | 62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 72c | 49.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…c5dbbacked No | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed No | 77c | 15.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-07-05?this page
- Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-07-05?Yes won
- Will IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.