CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2cb0760e3bbb1ff71c7c54a0254ac3ad0e1e5b85d8c9ff2a54125372b46dc9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vocaof NRG, Voca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Voca | 55c | 18,035$9,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,071.22 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NRG | 46c | 10,716$4,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,895.08 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed NRG | 43c | 8,862$3,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,831.47 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Voca | 55c | 4,685$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.3 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked NRG | 47c | 4,274$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.32 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Voca | 54c | 2,799$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.16 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed NRG | 46c | 2,222$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.17 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Voca | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NRG | 45c | 1,683$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.08 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed NRG | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed NRG | 45c | 1,110$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.48 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Voca | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Voca | 56c | 900$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Voca | 56c | 600$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked NRG | 48c | 360$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Voca | 52c | 360$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed NRG | 45c | 337.25$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.76 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked Voca | 55c | 324.68$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.68 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Voca | 54c | 234.55$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…2cfbbacked NRG | 46c | 210.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed NRG | 48c | 141.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Voca | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed NRG | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b2…633abacked Voca | 55c | 78.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Voca | 56c | 74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Voca | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d0…6cbabacked Voca | 57c | 68.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked NRG | 46c | 68.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Voca | 53c | 62.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked NRG | 69c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Voca | 53c | 42.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Voca | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Voca | 55c | 35.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Voca | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a4…ad72backed Voca | 57c | 34.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Voca | 51c | 32.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…5675backed Voca | 56c | 31.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed Voca | 57c | 30.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed NRG | 46c | 27.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed NRG | 46c | 21.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…3342backed NRG | 76c | 17.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier PlayoffsVoca won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca - Map 2 WinnerVoca won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Voca (+3.5)Voca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.