CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd53b2c215f0cac068ea884de9bd131cd63a3ce5cb6b9c06ef4191b949704df7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, Voca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked NRG | 65c | 2,697$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.31 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Voca | 34c | 1,199$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.94 | 630 | 57.1%360 W · 270 L | +40.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed NRG | 68c | 715.06$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.19 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Voca | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…e603backed Voca | 33c | 482.2$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.13 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Voca | 35c | 470$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.85 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed NRG | 67c | 381.16$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Voca | 34c | 355.88$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Voca | 4c | 335.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 518 | 42.3%219 W · 299 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Voca | 34c | 310$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed NRG | 67c | 239.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Voca | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 912 | 45.8%418 W · 494 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Voca | 9c | 181.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Voca | 31c | 145.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Voca | 35c | 121$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 478 | 36.8%176 W · 302 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Voca | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed NRG | 67c | 98.58$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b00…bef2backed NRG | 78c | 92.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e9…d246backed NRG | 68c | 87.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 263 | 68.8%181 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Voca | 33c | 82.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Voca | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Voca | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed NRG | 64c | 58.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Voca | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier PlayoffsVoca won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca - Map 2 WinnerVoca won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Voca (+3.5)Voca won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)Voca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.