CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs Prestige (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcecd0909a9c4ebf006bb6031eb786e085af010db3f459042abce4f8b2e413e52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metizportof Metizport, Prestige
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Prestige | 47c | 2,646$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.28 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Metizport | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Metizport | 54c | 826.52$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.6 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Metizport | 32c | 726.63$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.22 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Metizport | 53c | 630$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.1 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Metizport | 53c | 188.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Prestige | 47c | 171.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Metizport | 53c | 152.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Metizport | 52c | 92.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Prestige | 51c | 81.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Metizport | 51c | 80.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Metizport | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked Prestige | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a4…ad72backed Metizport | 52c | 74.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Prestige | 49c | 56.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Prestige | 48c | 32.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Prestige | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked Prestige | 49c | 28.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Metizport | 53c | 28.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Prestige | 49c | 21.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs Prestige (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Metizport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12Metizport won
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Metizport - Map 1 WinnerMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Metizport - Map 2 WinnerMetizport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.