CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda64eb19b2f3d607ef00e2450f64116b09cc63c7fa0a6ef53af7a9637d3c9625
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof BESTIA, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked ALKA | 45c | 10,627$4,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,844.86 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BESTIA | 55c | 6,699$3,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,682.42 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed BESTIA | 55c | 1,595$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.51 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed ALKA | 46c | 1,220$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.03 | 610 | 54.6%333 W · 277 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked ALKA | 45c | 954.44$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.94 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed BESTIA | 54c | 884.72$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.76 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed BESTIA | 55c | 740.74$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.41 | 590 | 55.3%326 W · 264 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed ALKA | 46c | 671.46$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.59 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed BESTIA | 54c | 593.41$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.44 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed BESTIA | 55c | 568.24$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.53 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5561backed BESTIA | 55c | 477.09$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.4 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed BESTIA | 54c | 428.53$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.41 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BESTIA | 55c | 330$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed BESTIA | 54c | 328.83$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.57 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed ALKA | 45c | 308.01$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.41 | 569 | 41.3%235 W · 334 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ALKA | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 982 | 48.3%474 W · 508 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed ALKA | 46c | 286.96$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.96 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed BESTIA | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked BESTIA | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed BESTIA | 55c | 147.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed BESTIA | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked BESTIA | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked BESTIA | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…fb29backed BESTIA | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed BESTIA | 55c | 108.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 216 | 50%108 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed ALKA | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked BESTIA | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BESTIA | 54c | 96.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked BESTIA | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked BESTIA | 63c | 74.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed BESTIA | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed BESTIA | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked ALKA | 46c | 64.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed ALKA | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 554 | 41.2%228 W · 326 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a4…ad72backed ALKA | 47c | 40.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked BESTIA | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed BESTIA | 55c | 38.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 232 | 65.1%151 W · 81 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked BESTIA | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x803e…7331backed BESTIA | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +48%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked BESTIA | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…fa08backed BESTIA | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed BESTIA | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…6fe4backed BESTIA | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…cae2backed BESTIA | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed ALKA | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 409 | 71.9%294 W · 115 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed BESTIA | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 673 | 50.1%337 W · 336 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed ALKA | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 232 | 26.3%61 W · 171 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed ALKA | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…3ae0backed ALKA | 46c | 21.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ALKA | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ALKA - Map 1 WinnerALKA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.