CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x785a2dcda51cb7ab92017e67e86f45782fa596c87d7e6a99de3e878762ff8bd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof BESTIA, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked ALKA | 59c | 2,236$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.06 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked ALKA | 33c | 1,031$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.56 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed BESTIA | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BESTIA | 46c | 476.96$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.28 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed BESTIA | 60c | 446.21$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.64 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed BESTIA | 69c | 363.73$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.35 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed ALKA | 43c | 350.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BESTIA | 54c | 335$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.48 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed BESTIA | 56c | 286.04$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.59 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked ALKA | 75c | 263.94$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked BESTIA | 43c | 224.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed ALKA | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ALKA | 42c | 188.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.4 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed ALKA | 32c | 180.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ALKA | 31c | 169.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed ALKA | 29c | 158.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.54 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed BESTIA | 64c | 148.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA | 43c | 137.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ALKA | 28c | 105.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ALKA | 48c | 77.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked BESTIA | 75c | 67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked BESTIA | 33c | 65.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked ALKA | 34c | 57.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -7.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed ALKA | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked BESTIA | 52c | 55.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed ALKA | 46c | 55.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…c69ebacked ALKA | 40c | 54.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ALKA | 41c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed ALKA | 46c | 51.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ALKA | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA | 62c | 47.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ALKA | 46c | 47.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked ALKA | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed ALKA | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed BESTIA | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed BESTIA | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked BESTIA | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked ALKA | 40c | 25.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed BESTIA | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ALKA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)ALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.