La Liga · resolved market
Real Racing Club to score first vs. Villarreal CF?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb50a51b299ad40771f60360e9be9fe526d84b898f5f98caf8a564225c8bd811f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa283…2cf0backed No | 65c | 2,962$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 35c | 2,583$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.27 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…38a4backed No | 62c | 1,025$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 37c | 869.35$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.31 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ab…9d13backed No | 56c | 844.98$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…b411backed No | 64c | 700$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 37c | 675$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.44 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 36c | 565$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.42 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 45c | 379.56$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.76 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c45…8652backed No | 66c | 328.08$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Yes | 45c | 270.42$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.73 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9627backed Yes | 40c | 241.28$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…96fabacked Yes | 41c | 218.29$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…a2edbacked Yes | 39c | 216$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac44…0d3dbacked Yes | 39c | 207.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +94%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…6062backed Yes | 38c | 199.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 62c | 191.92$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 70c | 141.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 70c | 141.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 70c | 96.15$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 63c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 145 | 25.5%37 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Racing Club to score first vs. Villarreal CF?this page
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Neither team to score first?No won
- Villarreal CF to score first vs. Real Racing Club?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.