Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Darderi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd67873462144aad1a906258f11d0cd9a78bfc8ba58b0d0166ee383b9bfc6b034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borgesof Borges, Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Darderi | 42c | 5,458$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.68 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Borges | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Borges | 57c | 1,221$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Darderi | 55c | 974.53$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.57 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Borges | 59c | 750$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed Borges | 59c | 750$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c45…8652backed Borges | 58c | 684$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Darderi | 50c | 637.8$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.9 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Borges | 58c | 428$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.81 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Darderi | 42c | 363.38$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.62 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Darderi | 42c | 320.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.66 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…d9b2backed Borges | 58c | 253.45$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…e8d3backed Borges | 58c | 252$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…55e5backed Borges | 58c | 251$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Borges | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Borges | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked Borges | 58c | 248$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a2…1abdbacked Borges | 58c | 247.85$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked Borges | 57c | 240.33$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…8819backed Borges | 58c | 236.21$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Borges | 59c | 225.42$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Darderi | 50c | 202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Darderi | 43c | 181.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Borges | 58c | 110.78$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Borges | 54c | 104$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Darderi | 42c | 71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Borges | 43c | 66.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36dc…531bbacked Borges | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Borges | 58c | 45.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Darderi | 43c | 40.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Borges | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Darderi | 56c | 31.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed Borges | 59c | 31.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Darderithis page
- Borges vs. Darderi: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Borges vs. Darderi: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano DarderiLuciano Darderi won
- Nuno Borges vs. Luciano Darderi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 2 Winner: Borges vs DarderiDarderi won
- Set Handicap: Borges (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)Darderi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.