TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,667
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,667 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e3e…f882backed Over55c6,249$3,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,807.1965535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under35c3,131$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.2111645.7%53 W · 63 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over47c2,666$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.015030%15 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd30…6b15backed Under15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…44bbbacked Under15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under45c1,901$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.3596947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under44c1,890$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.113225%8 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-56.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c1,647$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.143,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over54c1,115$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.735554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under51c1,090$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.281,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63012770.9%90 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked Under16c937.49$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under52c890.76$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.23033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over53c867.34$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.371,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under46c819.5$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.022,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under45c816.18$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.11,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Over48c767.26$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.28850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Over43c741$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.481770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under45c612.05$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.4288048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f39…311abacked Over50c550$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751560%9 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+47.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.454341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1159…7c71backed Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295850%4 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under51c478.42$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under46c471.55$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.621,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under20c467.27$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9537446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11dd…f832backed Under15c446.54$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x792e…fd6cbacked Over70c438.94$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under48c432.97$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9535146.2%162 W · 189 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d47…64eebacked Over49c400$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.792520%5 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18420050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Under51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick47cpaid+238.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under46c399.99$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1821764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under16c378.46$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4810627.4%29 W · 77 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over49c375.75$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.24528.9%13 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcea…545bbacked Under45c356.26$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.213253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over54c333.33$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.334290.5%38 W · 4 L+10.6wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under54c318$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.728757.5%50 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c84…f6fcbacked Under16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over50c256.75$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.255149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over53c254.63$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5519848%95 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855558.2%32 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over51c250$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.514630.1%44 W · 102 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Under47c249.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.51315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.28per pick43cpaid-71.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over64c225.59$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5237750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over57c223.69$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.693625%9 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over53c216.07$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.517560%45 W · 30 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+77.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over49c211.84$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9956849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under45c210$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.447649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Under52c207.69$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0812242.6%52 W · 70 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under49c202.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005064%32 W · 18 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over52c201.28$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9623950.2%120 W · 119 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under49c198.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9715628.2%44 W · 112 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c184.09$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.82,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4d…448fbacked Under47c180.85$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+76.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef87…e853backed Under50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under50c178.88$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4470%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under13c159.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.14100%0 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under35c156.37$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2397346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Under49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…0cccbacked Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under35c149.78$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8132436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over46c130$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.823860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over51c123.05$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7433446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Under46c117.63$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over50c112$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under45c109.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.550154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1621…f040backed Under11c108.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3365.6%2 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over54c105$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.358351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc27d…9587backed Over53c103.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.775100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4579354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under52c94.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4385260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.594438.6%17 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over52c89.27$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.858333.7%28 W · 55 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over53c86.4$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1927846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35f9…12a6backed Under31c85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.351861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over47c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.575933.9%20 W · 39 L-8.6wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.28551.8%44 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over38c75.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6417447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over73c72.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3210768.2%73 W · 34 L+15.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Over49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.73043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under47c66.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9416443.9%72 W · 92 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over53c60.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.477755.8%43 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.215240.8%62 W · 90 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under29c59.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.12142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under24c58.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.234070%28 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+38.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under44c56.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9918449.5%91 W · 93 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe1a…03a9backed Under55c54.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238747.1%41 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc15a…5bd2backed Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+40.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Under51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Over50c48.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.233246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3d…61febacked Over65c46.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.172152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under45c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4577855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.452740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under45c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2537043.8%162 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4626…d40bbacked Under53c42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.26850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6710238.2%39 W · 63 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.