Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad8330b963871786dc0639dd6548bc731d1d7526b07d0b4ab9de484b09724972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 78c | 3,865$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.96 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed Under | 36c | 2,767$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 16c | 1,789$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.08 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 10c | 1,676$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.63 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 22c | 1,640$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 867.72$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.95 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 17c | 779$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 78c | 769.23$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 22c | 610.23$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 15c | 582.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 36c | 568.79$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.02 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…92f3backed Over | 78c | 320.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…f040backed Under | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 78c | 95.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 70c | 86.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 22c | 51.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 56cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…5709backed Over | 78c | 34.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 41c | 30.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…ba51backed Over | 78c | 26.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…3d52backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: FK Sarajevo O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: FK Sarajevo O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Inter Turku (-1.5)FK Sarajevo won
- Spread: FC Inter Turku (-2.5)FK Sarajevo won
- Spread: FK Sarajevo (-1.5)FC Inter Turku won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.