Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6fd5a52f773d96162dc2667edc3c7171bdf52b903aceebb0778f2450ddf15a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 78c | 11,379$8,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.74 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 9,838$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.49 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 22c | 7,175$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.07 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 77c | 4,775$3,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.67 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 21c | 3,850$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 26c | 1,619$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.55 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 1,482$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.88 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 21c | 1,377$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.01 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 80c | 1,071$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 75c | 851.48$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.25 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Under | 61c | 650.71$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 71c | 595.06$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.95 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1159…7c71backed Under | 76c | 545.98$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 43c | 505.95$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.18 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Under | 69c | 499.98$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 29c | 429.15$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 23c | 343.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 27c | 309.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4544…7db1backed Under | 71c | 300.73$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 29c | 263.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 68c | 113.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 65c | 99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 69c | 90.83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 71c | 88.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 58c | 73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Over | 15c | 69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 65c | 68.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 29c | 61.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 79c | 48.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…685ebacked Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Under | 80c | 37.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 74c | 33.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 70c | 31.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Under | 55c | 28.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…020ebacked Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 78c | 23.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…448fbacked Under | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 57c | 20.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4b…5bedbacked Under | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: FK Sarajevo O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: FK Sarajevo O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Inter Turku (-1.5)FK Sarajevo won
- Spread: FC Inter Turku (-2.5)FK Sarajevo won
- Spread: FK Sarajevo (-1.5)FC Inter Turku won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.