Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17a84303212129ffcaa07df353b924b8d2f9096ae568be52a52125b2ccecbf1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 45c | 724.08$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.69 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 473.19$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.47 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 36c | 437.2$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.7 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…71e4backed Yes | 57c | 434.42$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Yes | 55c | 210$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…c41ebacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 55c | 167.55$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 47c | 119.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 57c | 111.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 108.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 58c | 105.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked No | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dd…18debacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 54c | 78.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 79c | 72.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 22c | 52.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 44c | 49.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 27c | 48.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 43.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 65c | 42.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Yes | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yes | 56c | 31.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…1870backed Yes | 56c | 31.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed No | 43c | 27.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…5ecabacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: FK Sarajevo O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: FK Sarajevo O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Inter Turku (-1.5)FK Sarajevo won
- Spread: FC Inter Turku (-2.5)FK Sarajevo won
- Spread: FK Sarajevo (-1.5)FC Inter Turku won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.