Champions League · resolved market
KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc354afba03438f0c7a964d693d8d6ae5799ac19effe5b55fe3c8adb5d96233fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 5,578$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.13 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 25c | 4,892$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.24 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946a…2360backed Under | 51c | 1,937$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Over | 2c | 1,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 39c | 1,115$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.1 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Under | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 57c | 642$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.01 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Over | 55c | 600$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.74 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 589.94$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.36 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 401.24$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.42 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over | 59c | 350$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 41c | 266.7$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 57c | 207.28$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 54c | 199.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 46c | 191.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 107.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 78.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 41c | 77.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 44c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 44c | 42.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +17.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…593abacked Over | 40c | 37.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…6c9bbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 61c | 26.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 69cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Over | 61c | 18.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff0…3e3abacked Over | 62c | 18.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Under | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: O/U 2.5this page
- KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: ETO FC O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: KF Víkingur O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ETO FC (-1.5)KF Víkingur won
- Spread: KF Víkingur (-1.5)ETO FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.