Champions League · resolved market
KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3cb7f397015fbd0168535b8871270b49efb673eb94768c446bfc630802be210
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 5,978$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.52 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 4,522$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.14 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…a8bbbacked Under | 5c | 936.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Over | 62c | 671.04$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 15c | 456.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 66c | 397.46$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…bbdabacked Over | 61c | 391.58$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 78c | 375.01$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 36c | 374.51$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b4afbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 50c | 85.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 48c | 85.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…593abacked Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…a070backed Over | 60c | 83.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 80.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 36c | 73.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 40c | 62.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…22d8backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf8…44e5backed Under | 37c | 45.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Over | 63c | 40.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: O/U 0.5this page
- KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: ETO FC O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: KF Víkingur O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ETO FC (-1.5)KF Víkingur won
- Spread: KF Víkingur (-1.5)ETO FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.