Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Dečić Tuzi win on 2026-07-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f4069af54eaa3161b8c35819df52d7383344b696ab5afc98473119dd9ea3553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 66c | 2,947$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.85 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 77c | 2,084$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 37c | 1,298$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.44 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 39c | 1,296$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 1,288$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.14 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Yes | 20c | 1,100$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.86 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 19c | 500$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 17c | 458.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 73c | 416.66$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.58 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 337.5$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 36c | 290$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 21c | 218.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 18c | 166.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 17c | 163.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 16c | 152.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 66c | 135$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 37c | 132.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 45c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 38c | 113.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 102.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 17c | 100.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 371 | 43.7%162 W · 209 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 18c | 97.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes | 41c | 89.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 17c | 87.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 20c | 79.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 40c | 72.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddb0…f7edbacked Yes | 22c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Yes | 19c | 52.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed No | 35c | 44.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked No | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 38c | 39.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…06e0backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…2581backed No | 63c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 65c | 28.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 79c | 25.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 31 | 90.3%28 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 78cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 63c | 17.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 79c | 15.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Dečić Tuzi win on 2026-07-09?this page
- Will FK Liepāja vs. FK Dečić Tuzi end in a draw?No won
- Will FK Liepāja win on 2026-07-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.