Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Glentoran FC win on 2026-07-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc763f703a51e7229d70982eef67b83ddafbd3904395f76de8ce0512ff8c6963a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 18c | 1,643$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.03 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.73 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 432.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 79c | 378$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Yes | 25c | 372$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 333$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 319$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 15c | 274.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 14c | 112$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 72c | 68.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 79c | 53.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2dfabacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 45.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 80c | 27.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 79c | 25.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 30 | 90%27 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 79cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Glentoran FC win on 2026-07-09?this page
- Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-07-09?Yes won
- Will Glentoran FC vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.