Mls · resolved market

Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5866a0d0752f73bcf2a1cf5380c2db67dfcb2820c44b6832709800a269c0b47d

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $40,260
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $42,329

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,260 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	18c	8,239$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,520.22	63	39.7%25 W · 38 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	43c	5,062$2,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,904.53	993	40.1%398 W · 595 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over	78c	2,586$2,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576.18	187	74.3%139 W · 48 L	+33.5wins	+0.18per pick	56cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under	57c	2,101$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	67c	1,682$1,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.05	530	40.6%215 W · 315 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	46c	1,617$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748.41	1,444	36.8%532 W · 912 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	48c	1,436$686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750.65	1,262	45.2%571 W · 691 L	-28.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Under	51c	1,376$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	49c	1,325$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.3	989	45.4%449 W · 540 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under	40c	1,156$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.17	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	32c	1,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	530	46.4%246 W · 284 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	55c	967.38$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.12	472	40.7%192 W · 280 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	66c	886.04$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.08	240	46.7%112 W · 128 L	-15.4wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under	54c	750.87$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.46	444	47.3%210 W · 234 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over	57c	725.18$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.61	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+4.8wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over	57c	720.98$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.3	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	+7.7wins	+0.19per pick	43cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Over	52c	699.54$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.5	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	62c	607.14$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.02	1,880	36.6%688 W · 1,192 L	-7.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	65c	600$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over	51c	599.98$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.99	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	51c	598.89$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.31	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	46c	527.53$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.39	923	46.6%430 W · 493 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under	32c	500$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	48c	498.69$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.75	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	+10.5wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked Under	52c	449.74$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.55	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	41c	400.34$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.2	116	33.6%39 W · 77 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d47…64eebacked Over	53c	400$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48fb…ced4backed Under	8c	359.98$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.6	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	45c	331.9$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.66	967	56.8%549 W · 418 L	+73.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over	55c	299.98$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.99	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over	66c	274.27$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.25	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+70.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	40c	260.99$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.93	1,009	46.2%466 W · 543 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	32c	256$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.92	270	47%127 W · 143 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over	49c	218.17$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.18	202	52%105 W · 97 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	19c	217.99$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.22	128	39.8%51 W · 77 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over	62c	188.31$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.35	222	69.4%154 W · 68 L	+31.4wins	+0.14per pick	55cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Under	45c	187.25$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.26	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	56	76.8%43 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	74cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	46c	181.01$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.8	233	50.6%118 W · 115 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Over	52c	174.87$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.23	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under	59c	168.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	57c	154.9$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	714	43.7%312 W · 402 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over	56c	141.29$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.54	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over	52c	139.45$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.45	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	46c	132.77$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.12	270	58.9%159 W · 111 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under	11c	131.68$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.92	220	42.7%94 W · 126 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	68c	116.03$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.13	734	38.1%280 W · 454 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	64c	114.75$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.75	328	48.8%160 W · 168 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	48c	113.82$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.47	871	54.6%476 W · 395 L	+34.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under	48c	106.67$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.2	81	44.4%36 W · 45 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	48c	105.19$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.81	802	49.8%399 W · 403 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Under	56c	104.85$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.21	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.19per pick	60cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	44c	103.41$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.57	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Under	48c	97.14$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.63	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	32c	95$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	1,301	51.2%666 W · 635 L	-19.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff9c…4d59backed Over	52c	79.05$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.78	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Over	35c	78$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.7	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+4.1wins	+0.18per pick	56cpaid	+32%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	43c	77.94$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.12	314	46.5%146 W · 168 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under	43c	75.93$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.69	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	29c	74$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.71	304	44.1%134 W · 170 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb39…736cbacked Under	47c	73.93$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under	34c	68.47$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.42	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under	48c	66.67$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over	45c	64.49$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.46	90	70%63 W · 27 L	+11.7wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+24%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	43c	60.55$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.98	228	41.7%95 W · 133 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over	42c	57$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.93	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under	48c	56.67$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	32c	54.25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.36	215	47.9%103 W · 112 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked Over	52c	53.85$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.85	12	83.3%10 W · 2 L	+2.9wins	+0.24per pick	59cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over	55c	52.73$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.73	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	32c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	351	49.6%174 W · 177 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	102	49%50 W · 52 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under	59c	48$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	352	47.7%168 W · 184 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under	32c	47.31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.14	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed Over	66c	45.89$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	29	79.3%23 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	69cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	45c	44.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.18	820	44.5%365 W · 455 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	55c	44.45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.47	443	50.6%224 W · 219 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over	39c	42.95$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.21	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	35c	42.86$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.86	167	44.3%74 W · 93 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…df76backed Under	48c	41.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Under	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under	45c	36.57$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.61	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Over	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	71cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe331…0163backed Over	74c	33.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.75	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+3.5wins	+0.16per pick	57cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23e8…4fffbacked Over	51c	32.27$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.86	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over	53c	32$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.04	145	49.7%72 W · 73 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b91…27dcbacked Over	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over	37c	30.12$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.97	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+4.1wins	+0.21per pick	31cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over	52c	30.05$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.46	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	60c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.85	366	46.7%171 W · 195 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Over	35c	29.77$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.35	32	65.6%21 W · 11 L	+3.4wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under	47c	27.58$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	309	57%176 W · 133 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	59c	26.69$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	258	51.2%132 W · 126 L	+16.2wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Under	45c	24.86$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.19	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-3.7wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under	47c	24.79$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	92	53.3%49 W · 43 L	+7.6wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Over	55c	23.2$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.44	47	80.9%38 W · 9 L	+5.1wins	+0.11per pick	70cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under	47c	22.35$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.59	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under	46c	22.11$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.17	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+4.5wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5this page
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: FC Dallas O/U 0.5Over won
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: O/U 0.5Over won
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5Over won
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5Over won
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5Under won
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: O/U 5.5Under won
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: Portland Timbers 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: Portland Timbers O/U 1.5Over won
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: Portland Timbers O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)Portland Timbers won
Spread: FC Dallas (-2.5)Portland Timbers won
Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)FC Dallas won
Spread: Portland Timbers (-2.5)FC Dallas won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event