Mls · resolved market
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e6ec245bf80796dac37aad4d98c246e40f5854b93206f9949885f9b1cf047ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 33c | 3,225$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.97 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,890$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.48 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 69c | 1,197$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.7 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 68c | 790.29$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.19 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 49c | 491.64$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.64 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 65c | 456.9$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.73 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 38c | 424.1$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.35 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 31c | 413.14$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.07 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 55c | 404.56$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.49 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 56c | 300.24$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.31 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 67c | 262.74$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 229.88$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 59c | 169.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 35c | 162.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…ed90backed Yes | 68c | 159.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…c41ebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4f…613fbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked No | 34c | 148$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Yes | 39c | 144.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 32c | 122.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…bcd6backed No | 52c | 112$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 32c | 109.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 32c | 106.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 54c | 104$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 66c | 100.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 50c | 94.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 54c | 89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 47c | 85.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 32c | 75.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 41c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 65c | 56.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 44c | 55.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 38c | 49.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 46c | 39.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 32c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 33c | 30.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 67c | 30.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 29.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 57c | 25.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 54c | 18.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 69c | 17.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: FC Dallas O/U 0.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: Portland Timbers 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: Portland Timbers O/U 1.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: Portland Timbers O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)Portland Timbers won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-2.5)Portland Timbers won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)FC Dallas won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-2.5)FC Dallas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.