Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Pyunik FA win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42163eb1bfedfb050e92f6e8a7c3c0f01bc6c670d62ef975832df298133fb828
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 78c | 1,657$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.21 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 22c | 1,595$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.23 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Yes | 22c | 925$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.92 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 77c | 800.73$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.49 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 575.32$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 23c | 514.46$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 17c | 346.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 23c | 316.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 23c | 299.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 196.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 14c | 176.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 174.05$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 15c | 134.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 131.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 77c | 102.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 78c | 101.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 24c | 82.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 81.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Yes | 22c | 81.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 20c | 73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 20c | 69.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 24c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 57.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 23c | 52.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 78c | 51.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 30 | 90%27 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 79cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 80c | 37.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 29.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 78cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked No | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 78c | 20.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 78c | 16.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pyunik FA win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will Debreceni VSC vs. Pyunik FA end in a draw?No won
- Will Debreceni VSC win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.