Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Debreceni VSC vs. Pyunik FA end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1aa8beb0c7c3f6f71d85270adc7d9bda79e06abd5a667aba4e41b0b1c104589
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 27c | 733$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.91 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 73c | 710.07$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.98 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 392.18$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.81 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed No | 61c | 358.88$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 354.07$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.63 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 28c | 353.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 28c | 353.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 338.09$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 23c | 232.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 18c | 215.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 79c | 195.28$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 21c | 120.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 105$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 26c | 81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 73c | 68.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 75c | 65.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 70c | 51.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 73c | 51.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…85ecbacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 32c | 38.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 35.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 39c | 35.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked No | 79c | 29.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…db73backed No | 74c | 22.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 72c | 19.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed No | 71c | 18.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Debreceni VSC vs. Pyunik FA end in a draw?this page
- Will Debreceni VSC win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
- Will Pyunik FA win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.