Champions League · resolved market
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x156691f67a0f705c34f3621206b8764149f1808f3f1bc7d0a4df7fa18379e998
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 9,111$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e5…66b2backed Yes | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe15b…c15cbacked Yes | 11c | 4,560$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,859$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 10c | 3,376$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.06 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Yes | 11c | 1,800$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 1,666$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.03 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,583$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,249$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.39 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 9c | 1,067$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Yes | 13c | 738.46$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 11c | 566.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 11c | 497$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 3c | 480$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 3c | 428$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 8c | 419.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 12c | 280$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 6c | 221.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…616dbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes | 11c | 156$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 10c | 136.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c4…c777backed Yes | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 9c | 117.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 11c | 107$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d6…2fcbbacked Yes | 11c | 105$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-05?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?No won
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.