Champions League · resolved market
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x413510bcd9be9ea3abf6fff9309935496aea3e52e534a614278c81d53c853771
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 8c | 20,000$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.36 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 2,969$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Yes | 19c | 947.37$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 734.52$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 16c | 595.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…f25abacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 17c | 153.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 17c | 149.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 17c | 128.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 257 | 29.6%76 W · 181 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 9c | 112.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…616dbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522b…6ab1backed Yes | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…eceebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53b…73f5backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-05?Yes won
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.