Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Alina Charaeva vs Susan Bandecchi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x775d343e1eebbc3ece1f847bf6ef89c98ac52cd4def9a657f31924aa3b2418eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Susan Bandecchiof Alina Charaeva, Susan Bandecchi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Susan Bandecchi | 64c | 4,271$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.95 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Alina Charaeva | 44c | 3,258$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.59 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Susan Bandecchi | 76c | 3,253$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.06 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alina Charaeva | 13c | 2,244$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.44 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Susan Bandecchi | 55c | 2,016$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.63 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Alina Charaeva | 44c | 1,026$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Alina Charaeva | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Susan Bandecchi | 64c | 782.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.28 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Alina Charaeva | 68c | 696.97$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.94 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Alina Charaeva | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 21.5%32 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alina Charaeva | 35c | 574.5$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.32 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Susan Bandecchi | 80c | 435.17$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alina Charaeva | 12c | 421.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Alina Charaeva | 17c | 408.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Alina Charaeva | 47c | 406.72$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.68 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…8f3bbacked Alina Charaeva | 61c | 380$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.8 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Alina Charaeva | 32c | 377$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Alina Charaeva | 58c | 361$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.58 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Susan Bandecchi | 35c | 267.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.88 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Susan Bandecchi | 39c | 265.2$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.57 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Alina Charaeva | 18c | 250$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Alina Charaeva | 28c | 227.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Susan Bandecchi | 68c | 209.46$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Alina Charaeva | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Susan Bandecchi | 71c | 155.45$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Alina Charaeva | 20c | 150.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Alina Charaeva | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Alina Charaeva | 23c | 132.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 464 | 35.3%164 W · 300 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Alina Charaeva | 35c | 121.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Alina Charaeva | 40c | 109.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Alina Charaeva | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…f571backed Susan Bandecchi | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Susan Bandecchi | 35c | 94.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Susan Bandecchi | 60c | 92.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…4c7ebacked Susan Bandecchi | 48c | 87.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Susan Bandecchi | 35c | 85.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Alina Charaeva | 21c | 85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Susan Bandecchi | 73c | 77.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Susan Bandecchi | 43c | 71.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Susan Bandecchi | 77c | 70.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9917…12f4backed Alina Charaeva | 32c | 69.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Susan Bandecchi | 34c | 66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Alina Charaeva | 21c | 65.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Susan Bandecchi | 61c | 65.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Susan Bandecchi | 71c | 62.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Alina Charaeva | 29c | 62.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…e3a8backed Alina Charaeva | 66c | 60.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Alina Charaeva | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Susan Bandecchi | 34c | 58.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…27d1backed Susan Bandecchi | 52c | 58.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Susan Bandecchi | 32c | 55.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Susan Bandecchi | 77c | 53.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Alina Charaeva | 61c | 52.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…e738backed Alina Charaeva | 48c | 35.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Alina Charaeva | 65c | 35.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…ecefbacked Alina Charaeva | 50c | 34.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Alina Charaeva | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Susan Bandecchi | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Susan Bandecchi | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Alina Charaeva | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Susan Bandecchi | 45c | 27.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Susan Bandecchi | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Susan Bandecchi | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Alina Charaeva | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Susan Bandecchi | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alina Charaeva | 66c | 19.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Alina Charaeva | 50c | 19.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Alina Charaeva | 67c | 17.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Susan Bandecchi | 70c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Susan Bandecchi | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification WTA: Alina Charaeva vs Susan Bandecchithis page
- Game Spread: Charaeva (-1.5) vs Bandecchi (+1.5)Bandecchi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.