Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mai Hontama vs Lina Gjorcheska
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9e8063ee16debf066c058f332c7a30edaa773fd4c75e9cabc91b8ec698185a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mai Hontamaof Mai Hontama, Lina Gjorcheska
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lina Gjorcheska | 7c | 12,815$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.02 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Lina Gjorcheska | 9c | 4,460$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.44 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lina Gjorcheska | 8c | 3,949$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.92 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Lina Gjorcheska | 5c | 3,910$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…5fa9backed Lina Gjorcheska | 8c | 3,150$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.76 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lina Gjorcheska | 15c | 2,584$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.9 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7e67backed Lina Gjorcheska | 10c | 1,440$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lina Gjorcheska | 9c | 585.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lina Gjorcheska | 12c | 375.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Lina Gjorcheska | 15c | 344.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Lina Gjorcheska | 13c | 258.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Lina Gjorcheska | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Lina Gjorcheska | 10c | 191.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lina Gjorcheska | 21c | 186.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Mai Hontama | 78c | 153.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Mai Hontama | 79c | 145.66$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Lina Gjorcheska | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Lina Gjorcheska | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Lina Gjorcheska | 17c | 60.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lina Gjorcheska | 22c | 57.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…fc38backed Lina Gjorcheska | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Mai Hontama | 80c | 42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 165 | 88.5%146 W · 19 L | +37.7wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Lina Gjorcheska | 26c | 38.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Mai Hontama | 79c | 26.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Mai Hontama | 78c | 24.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Mai Hontama | 70c | 17.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification WTA: Mai Hontama vs Lina Gjorcheskathis page
- Hontama vs. Gjorcheska: Match O/U 23.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.