Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Arantxa Rus vs Teodora Kostovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe834f62f8069d051c911abe456cc512e7f67f9f5e9fcb6465390729cdb53573c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arantxa Rusof Arantxa Rus, Teodora Kostovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Teodora Kostovic | 41c | 26,386$10,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,848.97 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Teodora Kostovic | 69c | 14,444$9,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,966.35 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Arantxa Rus | 44c | 12,585$5,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,041.75 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arantxa Rus | 33c | 11,524$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,724.44 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Arantxa Rus | 31c | 11,498$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,933.79 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arantxa Rus | 39c | 8,445$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,188.78 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Teodora Kostovic | 63c | 6,080$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Teodora Kostovic | 70c | 5,827$4,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,090.93 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Arantxa Rus | 28c | 2,106$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.21 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arantxa Rus | 54c | 1,982$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.95 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Arantxa Rus | 28c | 1,923$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.77 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Arantxa Rus | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Teodora Kostovic | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Arantxa Rus | 51c | 986.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.65 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Arantxa Rus | 31c | 961.5$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.44 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…e22bbacked Teodora Kostovic | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Teodora Kostovic | 52c | 881.14$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.77 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Teodora Kostovic | 63c | 880.36$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.16 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Teodora Kostovic | 25c | 825.12$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.04 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Teodora Kostovic | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arantxa Rus | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.03 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Teodora Kostovic | 59c | 666.8$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.06 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e0…585bbacked Teodora Kostovic | 30c | 651.77$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.25 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arantxa Rus | 44c | 633.69$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.69 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…7f94backed Arantxa Rus | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0598…3d83backed Teodora Kostovic | 37c | 617.39$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Arantxa Rus | 48c | 574.87$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.27 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…5774backed Arantxa Rus | 54c | 571.91$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Teodora Kostovic | 79c | 544.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.1 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Teodora Kostovic | 72c | 514.89$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.72 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arantxa Rus | 61c | 506.26$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.06 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Teodora Kostovic | 22c | 490$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Teodora Kostovic | 69c | 487.5$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.38 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Teodora Kostovic | 77c | 463.95$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.45 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Teodora Kostovic | 68c | 439.73$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.45 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Arantxa Rus | 80c | 404.4$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Teodora Kostovic | 65c | 400$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Teodora Kostovic | 46c | 400$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Arantxa Rus | 30c | 396.43$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Arantxa Rus | 58c | 390.78$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.32 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Teodora Kostovic | 65c | 366$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.76 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Arantxa Rus | 36c | 350$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Arantxa Rus | 31c | 330$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Arantxa Rus | 30c | 320.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.16 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Arantxa Rus | 57c | 313.72$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Teodora Kostovic | 41c | 311$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.95 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Teodora Kostovic | 73c | 285.67$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.54 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Arantxa Rus | 28c | 281$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.32 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Teodora Kostovic | 60c | 267.38$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.09 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Teodora Kostovic | 64c | 253.18$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.85 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Teodora Kostovic | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Arantxa Rus | 27c | 231$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.63 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Arantxa Rus | 65c | 228.33$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Arantxa Rus | 37c | 213.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.72 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Arantxa Rus | 36c | 210.13$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Arantxa Rus | 29c | 201.81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.42 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Teodora Kostovic | 50c | 199.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Arantxa Rus | 31c | 197.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.6 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Teodora Kostovic | 64c | 194.36$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Arantxa Rus | 36c | 185.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.71 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Teodora Kostovic | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…2d18backed Teodora Kostovic | 53c | 165.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Arantxa Rus | 31c | 160$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Arantxa Rus | 26c | 159.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.96 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Teodora Kostovic | 80c | 156.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Arantxa Rus | 28c | 149.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Teodora Kostovic | 63c | 147.79$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.94 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Arantxa Rus | 48c | 142.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Arantxa Rus | 28c | 140.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Arantxa Rus | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Arantxa Rus | 38c | 130.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…b0b7backed Arantxa Rus | 76c | 129.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 109 | 77.1%84 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Arantxa Rus | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Teodora Kostovic | 79c | 125.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Teodora Kostovic | 71c | 125.34$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…741bbacked Arantxa Rus | 45c | 108.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Arantxa Rus | 24c | 104.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Arantxa Rus | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Arantxa Rus | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Arantxa Rus | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Arantxa Rus | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Arantxa Rus | 29c | 99.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Teodora Kostovic | 69c | 96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Arantxa Rus | 42c | 89.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Teodora Kostovic | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Arantxa Rus | 31c | 89.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Arantxa Rus | 55c | 86.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Arantxa Rus | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Teodora Kostovic | 63c | 79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Arantxa Rus | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…637cbacked Arantxa Rus | 34c | 74.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Arantxa Rus | 40c | 74.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Teodora Kostovic | 71c | 70.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba3…1aafbacked Arantxa Rus | 34c | 70.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Arantxa Rus | 28c | 70.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed Teodora Kostovic | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…ff71backed Teodora Kostovic | 77c | 64.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Teodora Kostovic | 66c | 60.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Arantxa Rus | 33c | 57.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Teodora Kostovic | 70c | 56.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification WTA: Arantxa Rus vs Teodora Kostovicthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Rus vs KostovicKostovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.