Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Mika Petkovic vs Carlos Giraldi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x977e0d8202897dbab80f541d6d03561ae38814a2c0d981f5ac9a23368ccbe674
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mika Petkovicof Mika Petkovic, Carlos Giraldi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Carlos Giraldi | 22c | 6,442$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.88 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Mika Petkovic | 76c | 4,870$3,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.15 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Carlos Giraldi | 7c | 3,614$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.62 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Mika Petkovic | 51c | 909.79$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.8 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Mika Petkovic | 80c | 499.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Mika Petkovic | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Carlos Giraldi | 13c | 354.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Carlos Giraldi | 12c | 339.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Carlos Giraldi | 25c | 286.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mika Petkovic | 67c | 239.38$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…f4d3backed Carlos Giraldi | 36c | 235.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Mika Petkovic | 72c | 207.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Mika Petkovic | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mika Petkovic | 75c | 90.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Mika Petkovic | 69c | 84.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Carlos Giraldi | 19c | 84.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Mika Petkovic | 70c | 82.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Mika Petkovic | 78c | 75.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Mika Petkovic | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Mika Petkovic | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Carlos Giraldi | 50c | 33.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Mika Petkovic | 63c | 32.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Mika Petkovic | 64c | 30.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.