TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs 7REX - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
INTZ e-Sportsof INTZ e-Sports, 7REX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,463 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe197…71ebbacked 7REX19c3,937$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.0428145.9%129 W · 152 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked 7REX32c3,349$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.61,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6876…8dc9backed INTZ e-Sports75c2,812$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.262774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed 7REX25c2,060$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.431,47429%427 W · 1,047 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed INTZ e-Sports68c1,510$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.291,05650.4%532 W · 524 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78e8…3c36backed 7REX21c1,399$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019335.2%68 W · 125 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed INTZ e-Sports72c1,386$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.0761154.7%334 W · 277 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 7REX27c1,162$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.081,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked 7REX25c1,020$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25517538.9%68 W · 107 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed INTZ e-Sports75c938.97$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.971,22358.1%710 W · 513 L+43.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked INTZ e-Sports77c935.97$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.551,34847.3%637 W · 711 L-33.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed INTZ e-Sports75c928.07$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7369041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked INTZ e-Sports68c882.35$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.3517452.3%91 W · 83 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed 7REX9c867.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0865043.1%280 W · 370 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked 7REX20c847.5$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8548147.2%227 W · 254 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked 7REX27c816.49$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.9390937.3%339 W · 570 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked INTZ e-Sports75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20015753.5%84 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed INTZ e-Sports74c760.26$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2440063%252 W · 148 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked INTZ e-Sports77c682.29$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15469259.7%413 W · 279 L+75.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x825e…2a99backed 7REX30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027749.1%136 W · 141 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7dd…bcd0backed 7REX4c642.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.852360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked 7REX18c634.51$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.152,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d24…cf3fbacked INTZ e-Sports74c527.09$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0414663.7%93 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed 7REX18c494$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6813549.6%67 W · 68 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed 7REX26c490$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.432939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed INTZ e-Sports74c475.67$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.136652.5%192 W · 174 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbee2…6527backed INTZ e-Sports79c444.92$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.923100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed 7REX25c417.5$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7514643.2%63 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dee…30b1backed INTZ e-Sports77c385.18$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5921261.3%130 W · 82 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed 7REX26c343.38$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.961,14338.8%444 W · 699 L-46.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3108…47eabacked INTZ e-Sports76c331.69$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.698957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x797b…26d2backed INTZ e-Sports70c327.48$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0812449.2%61 W · 63 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked INTZ e-Sports74c313.26$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0878549.9%392 W · 393 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x690b…bd2cbacked 7REX6c300$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde4b…1222backed INTZ e-Sports71c287.92$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.326533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1312…39cebacked 7REX29c285.79$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8212853.1%68 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed 7REX5c266.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.314617.4%8 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x811a…9a3cbacked INTZ e-Sports76c230.33$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3310851.9%56 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked INTZ e-Sports68c227$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6413050%65 W · 65 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed 7REX30c225.7$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6428246.5%131 W · 151 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked 7REX26c222.37$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.352,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed 7REX23c217.85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.231,85239.8%738 W · 1,114 L-64.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a3…70bbbacked 7REX26c211.62$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.021020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-54.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36de…cf07backed INTZ e-Sports72c208.58$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5815359.5%91 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed 7REX29c190.47$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2934340.5%139 W · 204 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked 7REX24c175.08$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7497744.8%438 W · 539 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed 7REX15c173.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.651,60817.5%282 W · 1,326 L-245.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x22a7…ca43backed 7REX29c163.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477843.6%34 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked 7REX29c159.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9856228.6%161 W · 401 L-32.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked 7REX25c159$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1388949.6%441 W · 448 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x483b…f0a3backed INTZ e-Sports75c158.65$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6611563.5%73 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed INTZ e-Sports76c154.88$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.962,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed 7REX24c153.01$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7219937.2%74 W · 125 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a01…bc5ebacked INTZ e-Sports77c140$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.236458.8%214 W · 150 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e8a…61c3backed INTZ e-Sports73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 7REX10c136.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.893,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked 7REX14c123.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8521544.7%96 W · 119 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed INTZ e-Sports75c117.43$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.776953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb31…792dbacked 7REX12c109.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13205%1 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick21cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b8e…ea9dbacked 7REX26c102.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.672962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed INTZ e-Sports72c96.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.692,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed INTZ e-Sports69c91$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4638358%222 W · 161 L-1.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked 7REX28c90.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.027037.1%26 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed 7REX35c86.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.151,08546.2%501 W · 584 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf236…2e36backed 7REX15c83.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.29per pick28cpaid+42.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4630…35c7backed INTZ e-Sports72c83.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3314249.3%70 W · 72 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked INTZ e-Sports76c77$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4810660.4%64 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d12ebacked INTZ e-Sports79c76.15$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9410265.7%67 W · 35 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc169…8677backed INTZ e-Sports72c75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6455…2604backed INTZ e-Sports72c69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3218561.1%113 W · 72 L+15.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed INTZ e-Sports69c65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1565725.9%170 W · 487 L-93.4wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-53.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed INTZ e-Sports79c59.55$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.541,57155.1%866 W · 705 L+80.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba8e…985dbacked INTZ e-Sports76c59.28$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.238355.4%46 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed INTZ e-Sports73c54.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4341949.9%209 W · 210 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked 7REX36c51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.521,09147.4%517 W · 574 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8115…103bbacked INTZ e-Sports70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked 7REX26c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4861042.5%259 W · 351 L-52.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x515d…0340backed INTZ e-Sports75c47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7535758.5%209 W · 148 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1df3…9ac3backed INTZ e-Sports76c46.61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1944355.5%246 W · 197 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f5c…a610backed INTZ e-Sports73c43.27$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.818458.3%49 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked 7REX28c42.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126541.5%27 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed INTZ e-Sports73c41.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.158437.2%217 W · 367 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked INTZ e-Sports73c40.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.965544.1%289 W · 366 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed INTZ e-Sports74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.425555.7%142 W · 113 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked INTZ e-Sports73c39.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7313658.1%79 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaf7…be9bbacked INTZ e-Sports73c36.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8718945%85 W · 104 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked 7REX29c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.441,14330.8%352 W · 791 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed INTZ e-Sports74c31.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2119351.3%99 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked INTZ e-Sports72c29.72$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3223066.1%152 W · 78 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27f…13afbacked INTZ e-Sports76c27.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.635149%25 W · 26 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked INTZ e-Sports76c27.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.512151.2%62 W · 59 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1082…48d3backed INTZ e-Sports74c24.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.33360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6aa7…1323backed INTZ e-Sports71c23.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.946360.3%38 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked INTZ e-Sports77c21.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.161,08239.5%427 W · 655 L-78.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed INTZ e-Sports73c20.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4458755.4%325 W · 262 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc126…4079backed INTZ e-Sports74c20.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.294346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked INTZ e-Sports72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.650456%282 W · 222 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked INTZ e-Sports76c19.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7413160.3%79 W · 52 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x050c…bf27backed INTZ e-Sports76c18.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4418848.9%92 W · 96 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ca…e129backed INTZ e-Sports78c18.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.027568%51 W · 24 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.