Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: ITZ (-1.5) vs 7REX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69686f13efaaf31e3fb8a069e7a640cf7c95d8762f51f11e439b915f16f8c2ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- INTZ e-Sportsof INTZ e-Sports, 7REX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked 7REX | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.99 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed INTZ e-Sports | 56c | 2,600$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed 7REX | 44c | 2,557$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.86 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked 7REX | 45c | 2,294$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.22 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed INTZ e-Sports | 56c | 1,948$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.01 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed INTZ e-Sports | 56c | 1,250$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…f616backed INTZ e-Sports | 56c | 907.59$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.02 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…16abbacked INTZ e-Sports | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed 7REX | 44c | 686.18$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.92 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dd…bcd0backed INTZ e-Sports | 55c | 610.28$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.33 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6455…2604backed INTZ e-Sports | 56c | 360$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…56a1backed INTZ e-Sports | 56c | 179.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…0e78backed 7REX | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 383 | 42.8%164 W · 219 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed INTZ e-Sports | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 392 | 51.3%201 W · 191 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked INTZ e-Sports | 56c | 98.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed INTZ e-Sports | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked INTZ e-Sports | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed 7REX | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed INTZ e-Sports | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…f2e5backed INTZ e-Sports | 54c | 72.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…f0cfbacked INTZ e-Sports | 56c | 66.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed 7REX | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked INTZ e-Sports | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…35c7backed INTZ e-Sports | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf7…be9bbacked INTZ e-Sports | 56c | 47.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked 7REX | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed 7REX | 44c | 42.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed INTZ e-Sports | 54c | 37.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked INTZ e-Sports | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed INTZ e-Sports | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked INTZ e-Sports | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed INTZ e-Sports | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed INTZ e-Sports | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5c…a610backed INTZ e-Sports | 54c | 27.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked INTZ e-Sports | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed INTZ e-Sports | 56c | 26.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 581 | 55.6%323 W · 258 L | +17.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…6fe4backed INTZ e-Sports | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed INTZ e-Sports | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 458 | 41.5%190 W · 268 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…8b63backed INTZ e-Sports | 55c | 19.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: ITZ (-1.5) vs 7REX (+1.5)this page
- LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs 7REX (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante PlayoffsINTZ e-Sports won
- LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs 7REX - Game 1 WinnerINTZ e-Sports won
- LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs 7REX - Game 2 WinnerINTZ e-Sports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.