CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda5264f94273f591b930c93e9abdd9f1605638c7ebe2e131bd47e021312000fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof Fire Flux Esports, WRAITH PCIFIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Fire Flux Esports | 50c | 2,167$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.28 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Fire Flux Esports | 25c | 2,037$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.68 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 52c | 1,600$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.98 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Fire Flux Esports | 23c | 1,594$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.74 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 34c | 1,167$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.18 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Fire Flux Esports | 48c | 1,163$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.76 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 55c | 698.91$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.4 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 51c | 587.57$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.67 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Fire Flux Esports | 30c | 271.11$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.87 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Fire Flux Esports | 35c | 197.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.48 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Fire Flux Esports | 48c | 193.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fire Flux Esports | 43c | 192.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.86 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…61c3backed Fire Flux Esports | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fire Flux Esports | 34c | 182.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.47 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 12c | 159.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.92 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Fire Flux Esports | 44c | 94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fire Flux Esports | 44c | 66.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Fire Flux Esports | 24c | 65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 71c | 52.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Fire Flux Esports | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 24c | 47.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…b5a2backed Fire Flux Esports | 50c | 27.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Fire Flux Esports | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 61c | 24.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 64c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 76c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 73c | 22.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 121 | 76%92 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed Fire Flux Esports | 60c | 18.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group AWRAITH PCIFIC won
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 1 WinnerWRAITH PCIFIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.