CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d18588c8abd571a4e5f46d46232b83c34483de9b1c6aaaf64c47ae7d3612dd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WRAITH PCIFICof Fire Flux Esports, WRAITH PCIFIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 35c | 3,000$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.96 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Fire Flux Esports | 62c | 2,651$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.89 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Fire Flux Esports | 65c | 859.82$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.69 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 31c | 828.58$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.25 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 565.23$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Fire Flux Esports | 68c | 293.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 34c | 216.47$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.87 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Fire Flux Esports | 74c | 177.6$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…295bbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 38c | 129.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Fire Flux Esports | 67c | 129.53$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Fire Flux Esports | 69c | 125.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 46c | 79.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Fire Flux Esports | 39c | 57.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4b…0113backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 29c | 43.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 37c | 39.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 77c | 38.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 61c | 37.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 154 | 69.5%107 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 44c | 29.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Fire Flux Esports | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 69.6%78 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…f571backed Fire Flux Esports | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group AWRAITH PCIFIC won
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.