TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
WRAITH PCIFICof Fire Flux Esports, WRAITH PCIFIC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,261
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,261 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b97…8d30backed Fire Flux Esports45c6,706$3,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,025.5566851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed WRAITH PCIFIC49c3,904$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.312344.7%55 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked Fire Flux Esports62c1,750$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9935847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed WRAITH PCIFIC60c1,443$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.621,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed WRAITH PCIFIC52c1,352$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.591,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Fire Flux Esports54c1,339$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.452,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Fire Flux Esports40c1,050$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.419236.5%70 W · 122 L-15.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked WRAITH PCIFIC55c648.89$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.422,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Fire Flux Esports3c595.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked WRAITH PCIFIC60c572.92$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.361,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93c9…b32cbacked Fire Flux Esports38c515.05$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1963633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed WRAITH PCIFIC36c441.08$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.2657641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked WRAITH PCIFIC57c436.66$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.412,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadeb…5850backed Fire Flux Esports45c372.79$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.574161%25 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Fire Flux Esports26c372.67$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9727438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed WRAITH PCIFIC46c325$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.516550.3%83 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Fire Flux Esports3c321.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.835442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Fire Flux Esports58c315$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.15,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Fire Flux Esports52c291.29$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.281,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked WRAITH PCIFIC68c287.31$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.323,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e6a…7dccbacked Fire Flux Esports27c258.08$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.16550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb595…4b77backed Fire Flux Esports45c256.89$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.865545.5%25 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked WRAITH PCIFIC38c243.89$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.219848%47 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Fire Flux Esports47c239.95$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.91,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked WRAITH PCIFIC38c226.05$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.158644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fire Flux Esports34c218.9$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.536,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed WRAITH PCIFIC60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808061.3%49 W · 31 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked WRAITH PCIFIC60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805560%33 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xabd3…6635backed Fire Flux Esports54c196.31$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.71616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-67.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Fire Flux Esports40c179.9$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.124,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Fire Flux Esports26c174.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4544641.3%184 W · 262 L-28.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Fire Flux Esports9c170.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.683743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed WRAITH PCIFIC45c155.55$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.559354.8%51 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed WRAITH PCIFIC61c134.74$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5520353.2%108 W · 95 L+1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked WRAITH PCIFIC60c132.23$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8938469.5%267 W · 117 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Fire Flux Esports33c126.72$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4479951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Fire Flux Esports17c121.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.051752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed WRAITH PCIFIC73c118.45$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.982,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed WRAITH PCIFIC56c113$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7212948.1%62 W · 67 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x22a7…ca43backed WRAITH PCIFIC46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef30…e949backed WRAITH PCIFIC56c107$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.45470.4%38 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73bb…a7d5backed Fire Flux Esports53c103.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked WRAITH PCIFIC63c102$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2649242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dcb…50fcbacked WRAITH PCIFIC46c99.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5414037.1%52 W · 88 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ef…647cbacked WRAITH PCIFIC68c98.88$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.885759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d4b…0113backed Fire Flux Esports44c89.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.421258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Fire Flux Esports48c87.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4226344.1%116 W · 147 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked WRAITH PCIFIC76c81.21$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5772353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe408…b5a2backed Fire Flux Esports33c77.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.481050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Fire Flux Esports49c75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8540666.3%269 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed WRAITH PCIFIC47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3265946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed WRAITH PCIFIC71c67.27$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.485,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked WRAITH PCIFIC66c64.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.212,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8527…9a7fbacked Fire Flux Esports55c63.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352060%12 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked WRAITH PCIFIC58c61.71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8620447.1%96 W · 108 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed WRAITH PCIFIC79c59.28$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.419953.8%107 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed Fire Flux Esports42c55.37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0119468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf236…2e36backed Fire Flux Esports21c55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-73%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fire Flux Esports41c54.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.572,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Fire Flux Esports38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Fire Flux Esports48c48.85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.21,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed WRAITH PCIFIC66c45.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5741372.2%298 W · 115 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked WRAITH PCIFIC66c45.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3714661.6%90 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed Fire Flux Esports24c45.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.839157.1%52 W · 39 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Fire Flux Esports40c44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.839338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed WRAITH PCIFIC45c43.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9726048.5%126 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df0…95b3backed WRAITH PCIFIC64c40.97$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7513871%98 W · 40 L+15.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed WRAITH PCIFIC64c40.69$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.682,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Fire Flux Esports45c37.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710446.2%48 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Fire Flux Esports42c37.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a2…123dbacked Fire Flux Esports59c34.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked WRAITH PCIFIC48c30.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9667547.3%319 W · 356 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked WRAITH PCIFIC79c27.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6115469.5%107 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Fire Flux Esports43c26.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.234,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc62a…76b5backed WRAITH PCIFIC61c26.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.216048.8%78 W · 82 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x104b…e9cebacked WRAITH PCIFIC78c25.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.618481.5%150 W · 34 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick74cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked WRAITH PCIFIC66c24.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.183,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked WRAITH PCIFIC57c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3245238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed WRAITH PCIFIC61c23.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3560954%329 W · 280 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed WRAITH PCIFIC64c23.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.528761.3%176 W · 111 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Fire Flux Esports52c21.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0921949.8%109 W · 110 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed WRAITH PCIFIC48c20.84$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8477146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed WRAITH PCIFIC62c19.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6940264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed WRAITH PCIFIC75c19.13$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7820745.9%95 W · 112 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7355…824cbacked WRAITH PCIFIC79c17.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.67742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.