Lol · resolved market
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e5c323c2f15abe6a41dc0c2fb1bf175cdfc4a3a962a874ef40d2fa16d7317a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dynastyof Once Upon A Team, Dynasty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Once Upon A Team | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 3.3%2 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1407…e56cbacked Once Upon A Team | 2c | 1,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Once Upon A Team | 2c | 1,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Dynasty | 33c | 1,081$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.53 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Once Upon A Team | 2c | 759.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2364…18f2backed Once Upon A Team | 65c | 756.61$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.63 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | +13.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Once Upon A Team | 51c | 732.33$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.2 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Once Upon A Team | 2c | 719.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 196 | 37.8%74 W · 122 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Dynasty | 53c | 565.91$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.91 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Once Upon A Team | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Dynasty | 52c | 478$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.79 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Once Upon A Team | 4c | 437.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Once Upon A Team | 75c | 408.91$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.06 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Dynasty | 24c | 357.6$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.02 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Dynasty | 55c | 225$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Once Upon A Team | 55c | 217$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked Once Upon A Team | 42c | 207.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 350 | 58.6%205 W · 145 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Once Upon A Team | 37c | 184.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed Dynasty | 34c | 169.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.39 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dynasty | 41c | 169.33$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Once Upon A Team | 17c | 146.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dynasty | 67c | 146.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…df2bbacked Dynasty | 32c | 125.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Once Upon A Team | 51c | 123.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Once Upon A Team | 36c | 110.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Dynasty | 56c | 106.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Once Upon A Team | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Once Upon A Team | 54c | 87.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Dynasty | 49c | 77.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Once Upon A Team | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Once Upon A Team | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…30b1backed Dynasty | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 196 | 63.3%124 W · 72 L | +17.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Once Upon A Team | 24c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Once Upon A Team | 62c | 46.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Once Upon A Team | 63c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 414 | 69.3%287 W · 127 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Dynasty | 43c | 43.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed Dynasty | 56c | 43.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 411 | 51.1%210 W · 201 L | +19.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Once Upon A Team | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Once Upon A Team | 44c | 35.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Dynasty | 52c | 34.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Dynasty | 39c | 29.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…605abacked Dynasty | 39c | 26.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Once Upon A Team | 51c | 25.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Dynasty | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…e129backed Dynasty | 45c | 23.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Dynasty | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Once Upon A Team | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 465 | 62.4%290 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Once Upon A Team | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Once Upon A Team | 58c | 17.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular SeasonDynasty won
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Dynasty - Game 2 WinnerDynasty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.