Lol · resolved market
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3069ef506c5b97411c6aca32a0b688f9501ff48f2e580adde5c05c0e79cc9e53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dynastyof Once Upon A Team, Dynasty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dynasty | 71c | 684.01$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.37 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Once Upon A Team | 41c | 572.2$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.6 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Once Upon A Team | 58c | 440$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.7 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Once Upon A Team | 48c | 298$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.04 | 560 | 34.8%195 W · 365 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Once Upon A Team | 22c | 291.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 692 | 59.7%413 W · 279 L | +75.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e30…c14dbacked Once Upon A Team | 47c | 281.2$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.65 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Dynasty | 60c | 266.74$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 1,348 | 47.3%637 W · 711 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Dynasty | 43c | 243.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 481 | 47.2%227 W · 254 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Dynasty | 60c | 221.16$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 209 | 66.5%139 W · 70 L | +29.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed Dynasty | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…56a1backed Dynasty | 52c | 191.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dynasty | 48c | 190.21$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dynasty | 51c | 175.84$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Once Upon A Team | 41c | 140.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 977 | 44.8%438 W · 539 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Dynasty | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 1,085 | 46.2%501 W · 584 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Once Upon A Team | 50c | 131$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 1,244 | 39.7%494 W · 750 L | -69.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Dynasty | 58c | 126.22$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Dynasty | 61c | 119.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 1,091 | 47.4%517 W · 574 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Dynasty | 61c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 889 | 49.6%441 W · 448 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Once Upon A Team | 28c | 105.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 1,571 | 55.1%866 W · 705 L | +80.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea6…2d1dbacked Dynasty | 54c | 93.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Once Upon A Team | 54c | 86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e9…39a0backed Dynasty | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dynasty | 61c | 74.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 1,067 | 23.5%251 W · 816 L | -76.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Once Upon A Team | 35c | 74.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 1,056 | 50.4%532 W · 524 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Dynasty | 48c | 63.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Once Upon A Team | 38c | 52.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked Once Upon A Team | 24c | 50.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…c3e0backed Once Upon A Team | 22c | 50.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Once Upon A Team | 39c | 47.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Dynasty | 66c | 46.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -52.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…33c4backed Dynasty | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…179abacked Once Upon A Team | 35c | 31.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…a74cbacked Dynasty | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked Dynasty | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked Dynasty | 78c | 25.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Dynasty | 64c | 23.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 292 | 38.7%113 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Dynasty | 57c | 23.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 550 | 45.3%249 W · 301 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Dynasty | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Dynasty | 69c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed Dynasty | 69c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 88 | 76.1%67 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonthis page
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Dynasty - Game 1 WinnerDynasty won
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Dynasty - Game 2 WinnerDynasty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.