Lol · resolved market
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Dynasty - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x932e37e099a5bd121284faa9ad8bd49ea5e484354f112c236b713d327624841c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dynastyof Once Upon A Team, Dynasty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Dynasty | 53c | 1,916$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.2 | 363 | 59%214 W · 149 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Once Upon A Team | 43c | 1,408$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,223 | 58.1%710 W · 513 L | +43.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Once Upon A Team | 43c | 1,217$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.2 | 707 | 57%403 W · 304 L | +35.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Dynasty | 57c | 963.46$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.86 | 692 | 59.7%413 W · 279 L | +75.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Once Upon A Team | 45c | 412.51$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.84 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811a…9a3cbacked Once Upon A Team | 43c | 347.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dynasty | 57c | 330.71$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.21 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Once Upon A Team | 44c | 318$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 440 | 51.4%226 W · 214 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Dynasty | 58c | 286.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 481 | 47.2%227 W · 254 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…30b1backed Dynasty | 57c | 231.95$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 212 | 61.3%130 W · 82 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Once Upon A Team | 43c | 230.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 521 | 49.9%260 W · 261 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Dynasty | 61c | 199.61$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Once Upon A Team | 17c | 143.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Once Upon A Team | 16c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 1,348 | 47.3%637 W · 711 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Dynasty | 57c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 550 | 45.3%249 W · 301 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…985dbacked Once Upon A Team | 44c | 87.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Once Upon A Team | 24c | 64.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 562 | 28.6%161 W · 401 L | -32.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x050c…bf27backed Once Upon A Team | 42c | 56.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed Once Upon A Team | 43c | 55.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 424 | 50.5%214 W · 210 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e6…7c34backed Once Upon A Team | 43c | 48.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Dynasty | 58c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -52.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6b…dc55backed Once Upon A Team | 40c | 47.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27f…13afbacked Once Upon A Team | 43c | 41.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Once Upon A Team | 44c | 39.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Once Upon A Team | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Dynasty | 60c | 25.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 291 | 62.2%181 W · 110 L | +20.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Dynasty | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 848 | 40.8%346 W · 502 L | -39.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Dynasty | 71c | 18.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1,571 | 55.1%866 W · 705 L | +80.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Dynasty - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular SeasonDynasty won
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Dynasty - Game 1 WinnerDynasty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.