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Tennis · resolved market

Cancun: Henrique Rocha vs Hubert Hurkacz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hubert Hurkaczof Henrique Rocha, Hubert Hurkacz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$232,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$288,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,933 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Henrique Rocha8c28,314$2,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,386.159,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1dd…fb67backed Hubert Hurkacz69c10,088$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,088.214938.8%19 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Henrique Rocha7c9,554$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.011,51224.1%364 W · 1,148 L-41.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Henrique Rocha21c9,214$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.791,40442.8%601 W · 803 L-31.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Henrique Rocha16c8,145$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.9311,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Hubert Hurkacz68c5,779$3,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.2111557.4%66 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Henrique Rocha30c5,314$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.53,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5698…4a0fbacked Henrique Rocha11c4,470$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.54273.7%1 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick7cpaid+34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab70…774cbacked Henrique Rocha24c3,810$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.8316957.4%97 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Henrique Rocha7c3,357$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2359757.9%77 W · 898 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Henrique Rocha37c3,147$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.4464147.7%306 W · 335 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Henrique Rocha10c2,354$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23041535.4%147 W · 268 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Henrique Rocha14c2,136$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.4390435.7%323 W · 581 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Henrique Rocha7c1,947$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.128,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3622…3facbacked Hubert Hurkacz71c1,709$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.658769%60 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Henrique Rocha6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065040%260 W · 390 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Henrique Rocha6c1,664$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2674654.8%409 W · 337 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Henrique Rocha11c1,587$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0847728.1%134 W · 343 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Hubert Hurkacz68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48061341.8%256 W · 357 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Hubert Hurkacz77c1,265$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.371,74548.1%840 W · 905 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Henrique Rocha10c1,076$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8446855.1%258 W · 210 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Henrique Rocha17c1,028$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.424,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Henrique Rocha14c928.57$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13071725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Henrique Rocha27c856.3$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.531,07136.8%394 W · 677 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Henrique Rocha30c800$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24052644.3%233 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8db8backed Henrique Rocha23c797.88$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.913619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Hubert Hurkacz68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2994968.1%646 W · 303 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Hubert Hurkacz78c580.2$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.775,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c99…8b23backed Hubert Hurkacz70c571.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.4317559.4%104 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee95…707ebacked Henrique Rocha3c569.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Hubert Hurkacz74c537.52$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3334052.1%177 W · 163 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Henrique Rocha7c528.86$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0210927.5%30 W · 79 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Henrique Rocha18c464.18$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5536838.3%141 W · 227 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Henrique Rocha12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015620.5%32 W · 124 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b75…adc8backed Henrique Rocha14c381.34$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed Henrique Rocha29c350$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7819841.9%83 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Henrique Rocha29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Hubert Hurkacz73c323.4$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0914756.5%83 W · 64 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb619…c501backed Henrique Rocha7c300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204436.4%16 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Henrique Rocha10c299.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2694751.1%484 W · 463 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f29…2814backed Hubert Hurkacz68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.124553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Henrique Rocha33c290.91$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9645451.3%233 W · 221 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Hubert Hurkacz76c282.65$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6585568.3%584 W · 271 L+24.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa521…d609backed Henrique Rocha31c255.04$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803265.6%21 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c54…bebbbacked Henrique Rocha17c251.24$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7121246.2%98 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x882e…e0a1backed Henrique Rocha15c202.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4111436.8%42 W · 72 L-12.1wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b57…bf08backed Henrique Rocha18c200.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.757035.7%25 W · 45 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Henrique Rocha6c190.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9947148.2%227 W · 244 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a51…1e9fbacked Hubert Hurkacz73c178.08$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0821842.2%92 W · 126 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Henrique Rocha15c175.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3540659.9%243 W · 163 L+30.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Henrique Rocha21c167.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.221,03050%515 W · 515 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf236…2e36backed Henrique Rocha28c146.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.249137.4%34 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a4…ea47backed Henrique Rocha33c146.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.251850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8961…64cebacked Hubert Hurkacz74c134.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2813253.8%71 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Hubert Hurkacz72c133.33$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3329048.3%140 W · 150 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2516…51edbacked Hubert Hurkacz77c127.19$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2515374.5%114 W · 39 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Hubert Hurkacz71c126.76$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7630969.6%215 W · 94 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8713…196bbacked Henrique Rocha17c124.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.221931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Hubert Hurkacz80c119.95$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4243652.1%227 W · 209 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Henrique Rocha33c110.85$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.581,05340.9%431 W · 622 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Henrique Rocha18c106.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5557841%237 W · 341 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Henrique Rocha31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3112439.5%49 W · 75 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Hubert Hurkacz67c99.96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9914858.8%87 W · 61 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed Henrique Rocha31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013036.9%48 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Henrique Rocha25c96.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.093,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Hubert Hurkacz69c96.46$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.785,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Henrique Rocha32c94.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3036040%144 W · 216 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Hubert Hurkacz74c88.48$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.931,31439%512 W · 802 L-23.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Henrique Rocha15c86.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6131031%96 W · 214 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Henrique Rocha33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527943.4%121 W · 158 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f57…37d2backed Henrique Rocha20c65.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.93638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Henrique Rocha30c64.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.321,00938.3%386 W · 623 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Henrique Rocha30c64.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3257736.7%212 W · 365 L-2.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Hubert Hurkacz70c64.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2935951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Henrique Rocha19c61.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.732,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Henrique Rocha26c53.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2648947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Hubert Hurkacz71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.537065.1%241 W · 129 L-1.5wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4462…7807backed Hubert Hurkacz64c48.44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Hubert Hurkacz79c43.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.011,07654.8%590 W · 486 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Henrique Rocha29c40.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.641436.7%152 W · 262 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x504e…7ad9backed Hubert Hurkacz70c36.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.261861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Hubert Hurkacz74c35.78$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.313561.5%83 W · 52 L+0.7wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Hubert Hurkacz79c34.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.164,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8fc…b543backed Hubert Hurkacz73c29.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0724546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bdb…d9e9backed Hubert Hurkacz68c28.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.273964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Hubert Hurkacz69c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6838866.2%257 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Hubert Hurkacz80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482659.3%490 W · 336 L+3.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Hubert Hurkacz68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41,28965.2%841 W · 448 L+11.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Hubert Hurkacz71c19.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6413354.9%73 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcac7…37d8backed Hubert Hurkacz71c16.93$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.915572.7%40 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Hubert Hurkacz76c15.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6349251.6%254 W · 238 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162e…7cf3backed Hubert Hurkacz68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.754955.1%27 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.