Mls · resolved market
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c3211e69d4ed4445fc12531368d5e0d313566417397910551c13861cef99bf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 30c | 10,676$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.8 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 7,373$5,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.55 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 30c | 3,715$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.35 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 45c | 3,392$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.39 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 38c | 2,186$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.5 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 2,150$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.34 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 2,057$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.66 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 1,997$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.77 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 70c | 1,700$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 65c | 1,360$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.37 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 70c | 1,196$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.93 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 29c | 968$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.38 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 70c | 898.1$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.43 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 44c | 806.77$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.44 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 43c | 394.1$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.83 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 31c | 307.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 71c | 289.83$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 272.17$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 267$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 261.94$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 30c | 247.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 36c | 242.34$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.93 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 51c | 242$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.89 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 46c | 238.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.67 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 30c | 220.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 78c | 206.61$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Yes | 28c | 143$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 40c | 139.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 38c | 135.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 73c | 124$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed Yes | 31c | 120.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 69c | 115$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 57c | 114.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed No | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 46c | 97.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 55c | 95.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 95.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 51c | 90.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 86.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked No | 49c | 78.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 51c | 68.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 70c | 67.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 26c | 65.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 38c | 64.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 28c | 63.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 52c | 63.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 71c | 62.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes | 28c | 58.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 41c | 55.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 62c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 71c | 52.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 29c | 51.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 47c | 40.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 50c | 39.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 57c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 48c | 36.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Yes | 28c | 36.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cd…8903backed Yes | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 71c | 31.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 74c | 27.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 71c | 24.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 49c | 22.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yes | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 70c | 21.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed No | 79c | 21.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 55c | 20.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 55c | 20.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 72c | 20.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x230e…6d3fbacked No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 69c | 18.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 60c | 18.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 70c | 14.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?No won
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.