Mls · resolved market
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36b9af0a97e69566ff47c7eec5ce923662faf6e4ccff029bb19d451dec0dc646
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 46c | 7,587$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.65 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 55c | 7,500$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124.99 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Yes | 46c | 2,716$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 2,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 13c | 2,123$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.69 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed No | 54c | 1,905$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.57 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 35c | 1,741$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.52 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked No | 54c | 1,353$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Yes | 46c | 1,084$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 1,034$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.36 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 1,020$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.03 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 52c | 970.2$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.5 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 55c | 932.44$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.86 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 46c | 644.7$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.14 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 53c | 475.95$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 53c | 475.95$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 70c | 456.07$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.66 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 46c | 398.81$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.36 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 52c | 375$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 12c | 353.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 19c | 308.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 45c | 289.87$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.43 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…fc85backed Yes | 47c | 288.57$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 48c | 275.35$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 239.34$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.67 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 46c | 217$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 46c | 215.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 47c | 214.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 54c | 212.23$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 55c | 211.61$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.84 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 45c | 203.09$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.02 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aee…e76fbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 54c | 195$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 75c | 188.89$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 51c | 173.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 47c | 149.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.98 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 54c | 148$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 27c | 140.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 54c | 140.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 44c | 138$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 32c | 123.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 17c | 121$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 54c | 115.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 112.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 75c | 105.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…1fb2backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x485c…c8bebacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 52c | 93.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 70c | 91.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 45c | 86.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 47c | 85.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed No | 32c | 82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 46c | 78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb66…c52dbacked No | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cba…92a8backed No | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 18c | 68.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 63.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 52c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c2…4f78backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 64c | 57.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ae…5a29backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 75c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…17fbbacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 63c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…90bebacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 61c | 49.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 46c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 54c | 36.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 62c | 35.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 33c | 34.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 46c | 33.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Yes | 34c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 60c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Yes | 46c | 25.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 49c | 24.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…b132backed No | 77c | 24.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 22.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 70c | 20.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed No | 70c | 20.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed No | 55c | 20.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 53c | 19.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 17.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 74c | 13.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?No won
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.