Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Tianhui Zhang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf13f8d2fed84fff5370f2e0554741775d3d4fd5c2377ee9bb43d8fcd8bc8684f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Petr Bar Biryukovof Petr Bar Biryukov, Tianhui Zhang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Petr Bar Biryukov | 72c | 1,777$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.77 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Petr Bar Biryukov | 76c | 924.36$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.36 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tianhui Zhang | 31c | 825.42$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.63 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tianhui Zhang | 29c | 798.87$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.88 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tianhui Zhang | 23c | 616.2$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tianhui Zhang | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Tianhui Zhang | 25c | 446.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Petr Bar Biryukov | 71c | 187.14$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Petr Bar Biryukov | 65c | 178.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Tianhui Zhang | 23c | 177.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Petr Bar Biryukov | 75c | 170.59$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Petr Bar Biryukov | 72c | 157.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Tianhui Zhang | 29c | 121.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Tianhui Zhang | 31c | 99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Petr Bar Biryukov | 75c | 73.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Tianhui Zhang | 19c | 68.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed Tianhui Zhang | 22c | 66.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Tianhui Zhang | 27c | 59.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Petr Bar Biryukov | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Petr Bar Biryukov | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Petr Bar Biryukov | 78c | 32.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ed…c06dbacked Petr Bar Biryukov | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Petr Bar Biryukov | 71c | 20.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Petr Bar Biryukov | 73c | 13.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.