Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Frantzen/Haase vs Arribage/Olivetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d73967a4f203416be0d681c9a059ed35b5c83db2e28e2bca65979607dd7f03f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frantzen/Haaseof Frantzen/Haase, Arribage/Olivetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae5c…5df7backed Arribage/Olivetti | 37c | 6,947$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.48 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Frantzen/Haase | 63c | 5,883$3,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.43 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Frantzen/Haase | 40c | 1,099$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.6 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Arribage/Olivetti | 60c | 873.79$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.35 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Frantzen/Haase | 63c | 435.6$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.17 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…8eafbacked Frantzen/Haase | 70c | 409.39$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…849cbacked Frantzen/Haase | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Arribage/Olivetti | 30c | 370.6$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.18 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Frantzen/Haase | 51c | 206.49$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.78 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Frantzen/Haase | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Arribage/Olivetti | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Arribage/Olivetti | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…14ffbacked Arribage/Olivetti | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Frantzen/Haase | 36c | 92.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5369backed Arribage/Olivetti | 64c | 71.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Frantzen/Haase | 43c | 70.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Arribage/Olivetti | 63c | 64.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d8…9ccdbacked Arribage/Olivetti | 32c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…51edbacked Frantzen/Haase | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Frantzen/Haase | 63c | 50.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf2…d6d8backed Arribage/Olivetti | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Arribage/Olivetti | 27c | 43.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Frantzen/Haase | 67c | 40.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arribage/Olivetti | 69c | 27.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Arribage/Olivetti | 64c | 20.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Frantzen/Haase | 63c | 16.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.